Bastia vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
67.2%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
GEN
35%
28%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
EBT
4 - 1
BAS
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 4
AJA
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 0
GAZ
55%
25%
20%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
REN
1 - 2
BAS
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PSG
4 - 1
LYO
64%
19%
17%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
PSG
4 - 0
LEI
64%
20%
16%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
RMA
1 - 3
PSG
78%
14%
9%
|
90 | 95 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
INT
1 - 3
PSG
32%
25%
43%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2016 |
PSG
2 - 1
WBA
81%
14%
6%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |