Bastia vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
28.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2010 |
TOU
0 - 0
BAS
61%
22%
16%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 2
VAN
51%
25%
23%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
CLE
0 - 0
BAS
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 0
STR
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
BRE
4 - 0
BAS
64%
22%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2010 |
IST
2 - 1
NÎM
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
IST
2 - 1
TOU
37%
29%
34%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 1
IST
64%
23%
13%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
IST
1 - 0
BRE
34%
30%
37%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2010 |
VAN
2 - 0
IST
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |