Basildon United vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
51.6%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basildon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 6
WIN
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
WIN
1 - 1
BAS
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 4
BAS
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 7
GRA
51%
22%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 0
WEN
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
POT
0 - 1
YEL
18%
19%
63%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
YEL
3 - 0
CTF
48%
22%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 1
YEL
42%
24%
35%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
COC
1 - 2
YEL
34%
22%
44%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
YEL
1 - 1
AVE
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +1 |