Basel vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
16.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1980 |
SER
2 - 1
BAS
63%
21%
17%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1980 |
BAS
5 - 0
FCL
76%
13%
11%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1980 |
SIO
2 - 2
BAS
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1980 |
BAS
0 - 0
GCZ
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1980 |
LUG
2 - 5
BAS
29%
28%
44%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1980 |
ZUR
2 - 1
SIO
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1980 |
SER
3 - 0
ZUR
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 1980 |
GCZ
0 - 1
ZUR
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1980 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
72%
15%
13%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1980 |
ZUR
2 - 2
GCZ
56%
23%
21%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |