Qualif. Champions Tercera fase. Final
Global 2-1
Basel vs Vitória Guimarães analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
4 - 3
NEX
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
ZUR
1 - 4
BAS
35%
26%
40%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAS
27%
25%
49%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
4 - 0
FCV
77%
16%
8%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
BAS
4 - 2
GÖT
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória Guimarães
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
VIT
1 - 1
VST
48%
27%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 0
BAS
27%
25%
49%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
VIT
4 - 0
EST
59%
25%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
BEL
1 - 1
VIT
49%
27%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
VIT
0 - 5
FCP
22%
26%
52%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | -1 |