Basel vs Young Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
3º
7º
5º
74
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
BIF
1 - 0
BAS
24%
24%
53%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
CRU
1 - 1
BAS
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
BAS
1 - 1
SER
70%
18%
12%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
BAS
2 - 0
CRU
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 1
BAS
16%
21%
64%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Young Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
KUO
0 - 2
YOB
25%
23%
52%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
YOB
1 - 1
GCZ
78%
14%
8%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
YOB
3 - 0
LIE
68%
18%
14%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
SIO
0 - 3
YOB
16%
21%
63%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
LIE
0 - 1
YOB
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |