Barnsley vs AFC Bournemouth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
BIR
1 - 2
BAR
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
BBU
2 - 1
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 1
BRE
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 0
NTT
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
DER
0 - 2
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Bournemouth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
BOU
2 - 3
PNE
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
ROT
2 - 2
BOU
17%
22%
61%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2020 |
BOU
2 - 0
NTT
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BOU
4 - 2
REA
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
BIR
1 - 3
BOU
15%
22%
63%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |