Barnechea vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
37.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
BAR
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 0
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
DCO
2 - 2
BAR
61%
23%
16%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
VAL
1 - 1
BAR
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2020 |
USF
2 - 0
BAR
53%
27%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
NUB
1 - 2
DEP
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 1
NUB
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
DSC
1 - 3
NUB
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
COB
4 - 2
NUB
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
VAL
2 - 2
NUB
25%
28%
47%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |