Tercera Division G5 Round 28

Barbastro vs Numancia analysis

Barbastro Numancia
26 ELO 31
-11.7% Tilt -2.5%
4448º General ELO ranking 2509º
140º Country ELO ranking 81º
ELO win probability
36.8%
Barbastro
25.7%
Draw
37.4%
Numancia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.8%
Win probability
Barbastro
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
37.4%
Win probability
Numancia
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barbastro
+28%
-2%
Numancia

ELO progression

Barbastro
Numancia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barbastro
Barbastro
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 1965
CAS
Caspe
2 - 0
Barbastro
BAR
42%
26%
32%
25 22 3 0
21 Mar. 1965
BAR
Barbastro
1 - 1
Huesca
HUE
47%
24%
29%
25 29 4 0
07 Mar. 1965
ATL
Atlético Monzón
0 - 1
Barbastro
BAR
45%
24%
31%
25 19 6 0
28 Feb. 1965
BAR
Barbastro
2 - 0
SD Tarazona
TAR
57%
22%
21%
24 25 1 +1
21 Feb. 1965
AZA
Arenas de Zaragoza
0 - 0
Barbastro
BAR
46%
23%
31%
24 18 6 0

Matches

Numancia
Numancia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Mar. 1965
NUM
Numancia
5 - 1
Calvo Sotelo Escatron
CSE
91%
7%
2%
33 19 14 0
21 Mar. 1965
CDM
CD Mequinenza
1 - 0
Numancia
NUM
44%
24%
33%
34 25 9 -1
07 Mar. 1965
NUM
Numancia
3 - 1
Renfe
REN
90%
7%
3%
34 19 15 0
28 Feb. 1965
TER
CD Teruel
1 - 1
Numancia
NUM
29%
25%
46%
34 20 14 0
21 Feb. 1965
ZAR
Deportivo Aragón
0 - 1
Numancia
NUM
55%
22%
23%
34 29 5 0