Bangu vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
3.9%
Win probability
0.22
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
0.6%
3-2
<0%
+1
3.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
13.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
0.5%
3-3
<0%
0
19.1%
77%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
23.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
28.9%
0-2
21.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
24.5%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
0 - 4
VOL
12%
19%
69%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BOT
2 - 0
BAN
85%
12%
3%
|
50 | 84 | 34 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
BAN
1 - 0
MAD
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
AUD
0 - 0
BAN
43%
26%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
NOV
1 - 0
BAN
50%
26%
24%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FLU
3 - 0
POR
86%
11%
4%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FLU
2 - 0
VAS
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
FLU
3 - 0
AUD
88%
9%
2%
|
87 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
VOL
1 - 0
FLU
17%
24%
59%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
FLU
0 - 1
BOT
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |