Bandeirante SP vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.5%
Win probability
0.29
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
+3
<0%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
+2
0.4%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
0.7%
3-2
0.1%
+1
3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.8%
82.8%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
17.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
20%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
24.7%
0-3
15.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
9.7%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
CRZ
4 - 2
SCI
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
PAL
2 - 1
CRZ
54%
22%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
CRZ
1 - 4
SAO
49%
23%
28%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2001 |
POR
1 - 3
CRZ
42%
25%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2001 |
SAN
4 - 2
CRZ
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |