Balzan FC vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
12.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balzan FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
BIR
3 - 0
BAL
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 0
SAI
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 47 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 1
GZI
72%
18%
11%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
HIB
0 - 2
BAL
55%
23%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
2 - 2
VAL
42%
25%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
HAM
0 - 3
SLI
43%
25%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
MOS
2 - 5
HAM
35%
25%
41%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
HAM
1 - 1
FLO
36%
26%
39%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
TAR
2 - 1
HAM
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
HAM
3 - 1
SAI
65%
19%
16%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |