Baltimore vs Valencia de Leogane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
+2
8.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
32.9%
Draw
0-0
16.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.9%
34.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
CSC
0 - 1
BAL
51%
28%
21%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
BAL
0 - 0
DON
44%
34%
23%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CAP
2 - 0
BAL
43%
33%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 0
RAC
43%
33%
24%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BAL
1 - 2
FIC
37%
35%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia de Leogane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
VAL
2 - 1
AFC
44%
28%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
OUA
2 - 1
VAL
43%
28%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
VAL
1 - 0
ASS
53%
26%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CSC
0 - 0
VAL
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
PET
0 - 0
VAL
32%
31%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |