Baltimore vs Valencia de Leogane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltimore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2015 |
DON
1 - 0
BAL
56%
26%
19%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
OUA
30%
30%
40%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
FIC
1 - 1
BAL
56%
26%
18%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
TEM
3 - 0
BAL
52%
27%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
BAL
0 - 0
TEM
35%
31%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia de Leogane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VAL
2 - 0
VIO
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
ROU
1 - 1
VAL
47%
28%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 1
INT
40%
29%
31%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
VAL
1 - 0
DON
42%
30%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
DON
2 - 0
VAL
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |