Baltika Kaliningrad vs Saturn-1991 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
8.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baltika Kaliningrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1995 |
BAL
2 - 3
YAR
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1995 |
ARZ
1 - 3
BAL
37%
28%
35%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1995 |
NEF
2 - 3
BAL
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1995 |
BAL
1 - 0
ZAL
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1995 |
BAL
1 - 2
CHN
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Saturn-1991
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1995 |
ZEN
1 - 0
SAT
63%
23%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1995 |
SAT
1 - 2
LAD
39%
28%
33%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1995 |
SAT
1 - 0
FAK
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1995 |
DMA
1 - 1
SAT
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1995 |
KKR
2 - 1
SAT
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |