Bad Sauerbrunn vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
72.7%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.5%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
11º
6º
75
1º
9º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Sauerbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ASK
0 - 3
BAS
37%
22%
41%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BAS
1 - 1
DEU
44%
22%
35%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
ASV
3 - 4
BAS
12%
15%
73%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 6
TSH
33%
21%
46%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2024 |
BAS
4 - 1
SCO
29%
24%
47%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
1 - 2
JEN
89%
8%
3%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
PAR
2 - 1
HAL
83%
11%
7%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 3
FAV
42%
23%
35%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
3 - 0
SPO
33%
24%
43%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
PAR
4 - 2
DON
12%
18%
70%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | +1 |