Bærum vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ELV
2 - 0
BAR
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 1
DRO
70%
17%
13%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 0
MOS
39%
23%
37%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
FOL
69%
17%
14%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
SKE
5 - 3
BAR
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
MOS
0 - 2
FFK
43%
25%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2018 |
KVI
0 - 4
FFK
33%
24%
43%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
FFK
1 - 0
ASK
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
FFK
1 - 2
FKA
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
FFK
1 - 0
KVI
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |