B93 vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
43.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
6º
1º
48
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 43 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
28 | 28 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
B93
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
THI
0 - 2
B93
31%
24%
45%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
B93
3 - 0
JAM
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
B93
3 - 2
KOL
30%
28%
42%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
HEL
1 - 3
B93
31%
24%
45%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
B93
3 - 1
ROS
18%
22%
60%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
AAF
1 - 1
KOL
46%
26%
28%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ROS
4 - 6
AAF
46%
25%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
0 - 2
AAF
9%
15%
76%
|
57 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
AAF
0 - 1
ESB
55%
23%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BRA
2 - 3
AAF
18%
23%
59%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |