AZ Alkmaar vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
VIT
2 - 1
AZA
32%
24%
44%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
AZA
4 - 2
FEY
38%
25%
38%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
VVV
1 - 4
AZA
16%
21%
63%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
AZA
3 - 1
SCH
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
FCE
0 - 1
AZA
10%
18%
72%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
TWE
1 - 1
WIL
45%
25%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
HER
2 - 2
TWE
44%
25%
31%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
TWE
2 - 2
FEY
16%
22%
63%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 2
TWE
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
PSV
3 - 0
TWE
77%
16%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |