Ayr United vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
43.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1918 |
DUM
0 - 0
AYR
64%
19%
17%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1918 |
CLY
1 - 3
AYR
74%
14%
12%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 1918 |
AYR
4 - 1
HAM
45%
24%
31%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1918 |
KIL
2 - 3
AYR
81%
12%
7%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1918 |
AYR
1 - 4
AIR
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1918 |
KIL
5 - 0
HAM
75%
15%
10%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1918 |
KIL
0 - 2
MHE
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1918 |
CLY
1 - 1
KIL
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1918 |
KIL
2 - 3
AYR
81%
12%
7%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1918 |
FAL
0 - 1
KIL
37%
25%
39%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |