Ayr United vs Edinburgh City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ALB
0 - 0
AYR
13%
18%
69%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
ICT
2 - 2
AYR
53%
24%
22%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
AYR
0 - 0
QOS
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
ARB
4 - 0
AYR
35%
26%
38%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
AYR
1 - 1
DUN
35%
28%
37%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Edinburgh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2021 |
EDI
0 - 1
HAM
34%
24%
41%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2021 |
DUM
0 - 1
EDI
29%
25%
46%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2021 |
EDI
1 - 3
DUM
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 11 May. 2021 |
EDI
2 - 2
ELG
46%
23%
31%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
ELG
0 - 1
EDI
47%
23%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |