Ayr United vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1994 |
CLY
3 - 0
AYR
55%
23%
22%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
RAI
3 - 0
AYR
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
AYR
3 - 2
DUN
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
AIR
0 - 0
AYR
59%
23%
19%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
AYR
3 - 4
STJ
40%
29%
31%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1994 |
DUN
3 - 0
STJ
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1994 |
DUN
4 - 4
DUN
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1994 |
DUN
1 - 0
STR
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1994 |
DUN
4 - 0
HAM
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1994 |
STM
1 - 1
DUN
47%
27%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |