Avranches vs Fontenay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
28%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
LAV
1 - 1
AVR
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
AVR
0 - 1
YZE
34%
26%
40%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LEM
1 - 1
AVR
51%
25%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
AVR
1 - 4
LES
49%
26%
25%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CAR
1 - 0
AVR
35%
28%
38%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fontenay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
FON
2 - 0
LEM
30%
27%
43%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
FON
0 - 1
CAR
41%
27%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
ROM
3 - 0
FON
55%
24%
22%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
FON
1 - 3
LOR
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
CHE
0 - 0
FON
55%
25%
21%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |