Avispa Fukuoka vs FC Tokyo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
42%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avispa Fukuoka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
FAG
1 - 2
AVI
15%
23%
62%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
AVI
0 - 0
CON
62%
22%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
GIF
0 - 2
AVI
25%
26%
49%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
AVI
3 - 2
TOK
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
OMI
2 - 2
AVI
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Tokyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
KYO
2 - 0
FCT
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
FCT
1 - 1
MON
56%
24%
20%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2010 |
NAG
0 - 1
FCT
53%
25%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
FCT
1 - 2
KAW
30%
25%
46%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
FCT
2 - 0
JEF
59%
23%
19%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |