Aveley vs Dereham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
AVE
0 - 3
WHI
24%
22%
54%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2014 |
AVE
0 - 2
VCD
33%
23%
44%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
WAL
1 - 2
AVE
15%
20%
66%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 0
AVE
49%
23%
29%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
AVE
2 - 1
SOH
19%
21%
60%
|
27 | 40 | 13 | +2 |
Matches
Dereham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2014 |
CHA
3 - 2
DER
29%
23%
48%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
DER
2 - 1
HAR
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2014 |
WHI
1 - 1
DER
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
VCD
1 - 3
DER
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 18 Feb. 2014 |
YEL
2 - 0
DER
51%
22%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |