Auxerre vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
47%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
AUX
0 - 1
CLE
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 2
AUX
50%
25%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
AUX
0 - 2
SOC
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
AUX
1 - 1
ORL
46%
24%
29%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
AUX
3 - 2
LMU
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
TRO
2 - 0
PAU
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
SOC
2 - 1
TRO
27%
28%
46%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2020 |
TRO
2 - 0
LHA
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
AMI
1 - 2
TRO
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2020 |
TRO
3 - 1
SED
73%
18%
10%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |