Aurrera KE vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
65.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurrera KE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
ALA
1 - 0
AUR
80%
13%
7%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 4
BEA
29%
27%
44%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
SFC
1 - 0
AUR
48%
25%
27%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AUR
1 - 2
DEU
32%
25%
44%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
LON
3 - 0
AUR
42%
25%
34%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
BAR
1 - 0
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 2
BAR
48%
23%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
4 - 2
TOL
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BEA
0 - 1
BAR
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 4
LEI
55%
22%
23%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |