Aurillac Arpajon vs Saint-Flour analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 1
VAU
46%
24%
30%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
HAL
2 - 1
AUR
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
AUR
2 - 3
LPF
73%
16%
11%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
BOU
2 - 1
AUR
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 0
LIM
45%
23%
32%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Flour
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
ANG
5 - 1
USS
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2019 |
VAU
4 - 1
USS
70%
17%
13%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
USS
3 - 1
AJA
5%
12%
83%
|
17 | 64 | 47 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
LIM
2 - 1
USS
75%
15%
10%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2019 |
USS
3 - 3
AIN
24%
21%
56%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |