Aubange vs Bastogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
38.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aubange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
AUB
0 - 2
VAU
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
FLO
2 - 1
AUB
24%
21%
56%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 2
AUB
71%
17%
13%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
LOR
4 - 1
AUB
58%
19%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
LAR
7 - 0
AUB
56%
22%
22%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Bastogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
VAU
1 - 1
BAS
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
BAS
2 - 0
FLO
65%
18%
17%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
LIB
2 - 2
BAS
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
OPP
4 - 1
BAS
67%
19%
15%
|
19 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
OPP
0 - 2
BAS
71%
16%
12%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | +1 |