Copa Nicaragua . 1/16
Global 2-4
Somotillo vs CD Ocotal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
77.3%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.5%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.8%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Somotillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
JAP
0 - 0
SMT
74%
17%
9%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
SMT
0 - 0
JAP
7%
13%
79%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | +3 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
MAN
6 - 3
SMT
91%
6%
2%
|
23 | 60 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
SMT
1 - 1
MAN
4%
10%
86%
|
22 | 61 | 39 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
GUE
1 - 1
SMT
13%
17%
70%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
CD Ocotal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
DIR
2 - 0
DEP
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 0
CDS
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 0
WAL
19%
25%
57%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +2 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
DEP
0 - 1
JAP
50%
26%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
2 - 0
DEP
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |