Atlético Progreso vs Bella Vista Tucuman analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
LAS
2 - 3
PRO
41%
24%
35%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
PRO
2 - 1
SAA
59%
21%
21%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 3
PRO
25%
24%
51%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
AMA
0 - 1
PRO
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PRO
0 - 0
ABL
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Bella Vista Tucuman
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BVT
0 - 2
CHI
73%
16%
11%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
BVT
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BVT
1 - 1
CEN
17%
22%
61%
|
22 | 43 | 21 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
BVT
79%
14%
7%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BVT
5 - 0
PRO
41%
24%
35%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +2 |