At. Nacional vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
2 - 2
JUN
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
JAG
0 - 1
NAC
20%
26%
55%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
49%
26%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 3
COR
71%
19%
11%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CHI
3 - 2
NAC
25%
27%
48%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
LQE
3 - 0
LIB
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
3 - 3
SAN
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2015 |
RÑU
2 - 3
LIB
33%
28%
39%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 1
BSC
49%
26%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
CCP
0 - 0
LIB
56%
23%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |