At. Nacional vs Boyacá Chicó analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 0
NAC
31%
27%
43%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
NAC
4 - 0
CAL
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
AGU
1 - 0
NAC
33%
27%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 2
PER
74%
18%
9%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
NAC
31%
26%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Boyacá Chicó
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 1
EQU
45%
28%
26%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
HUI
3 - 0
CHI
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
JUN
2 - 2
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
JUN
37%
28%
36%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
CUC
57%
25%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |