Atl. Mineiro vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
24.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
PAL
0 - 0
ATM
43%
23%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
ATM
2 - 0
SAN
80%
12%
7%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
SAN
3 - 0
ATM
24%
23%
53%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
ATM
5 - 1
CAT
89%
8%
3%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
CAT
4 - 2
ATM
14%
20%
66%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 1
CRI
61%
22%
17%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 3
ECN
84%
11%
5%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLA
55%
23%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
ECN
1 - 1
VAS
18%
20%
62%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
AME
1 - 2
VAS
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |