Copa do Brasil . Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Atl. Mineiro vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 2
ATM
27%
26%
47%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 1
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 2
ATM
28%
27%
46%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 1
ATM
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
ATM
3 - 0
RIV
57%
21%
22%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 2
FLU
20%
26%
54%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 1
JUV
68%
21%
11%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 0
BAH
61%
23%
16%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 2
ATM
28%
27%
46%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |