Atl. Mineiro vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atl. Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1984 |
BAN
0 - 1
ATM
36%
24%
40%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1984 |
ATM
4 - 0
CRB
72%
19%
10%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
ATM
4 - 1
TRE
78%
15%
7%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
BAH
2 - 0
ATM
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
ATM
1 - 1
ATP
65%
22%
13%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 1984 |
BAH
2 - 0
BAN
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1984 |
CRB
1 - 0
BAH
36%
29%
35%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1984 |
TRE
1 - 1
BAH
25%
30%
46%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1984 |
BAH
2 - 0
ATM
42%
27%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1983 |
VAS
1 - 1
BAH
71%
18%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |