Catarinense 3 Etapas Finales. Final
Global 3-2
Atletico Catarinense vs Naçao Esportes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
55.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atletico Catarinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 5
CAC
68%
18%
15%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
ATB
0 - 3
CAC
20%
20%
60%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CAC
8 - 1
AOL
80%
13%
7%
|
19 | 5 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
NES
3 - 2
CAC
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CAC
3 - 2
CAI
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Naçao Esportes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CAI
1 - 2
NES
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
NES
0 - 0
CRA
50%
21%
29%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
POR
3 - 3
NES
20%
20%
60%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
NES
3 - 2
CAC
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ATB
2 - 3
NES
11%
16%
73%
|
32 | 9 | 23 | 0 |