Itararé vs Amparo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
41.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Itararé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
MFC
3 - 1
AAI
35%
25%
40%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
ECN
3 - 2
AAI
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
AAI
1 - 0
ECN
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
AAI
1 - 1
MFC
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
AMP
1 - 0
AAI
45%
23%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Amparo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
AMP
0 - 0
ECN
46%
23%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
MFC
2 - 1
AMP
25%
23%
53%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
AMP
0 - 0
MFC
62%
20%
19%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
ECN
0 - 2
AMP
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
AMP
1 - 0
AAI
45%
23%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |