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La Liga. Matchday 24

Athletic Villarreal
81 ELO 83
-6% Tilt 9%
59º General ELO ranking 44º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.5%
Athletic
27.2%
Draw
30.3%
Villarreal

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
Athletic
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
30.3%
Win probability
Villarreal
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Athletic
+10%
-3%
Villarreal

Basic stats

49
51
POS
17
3
SOT
6
0
COR
1
1
GF
1
1
GC
13
13
FRK
81
83
ELO
1.3
1.1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Athletic
Their league position
Villarreal
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
19º
58
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Atlético
86
86
100%
Real Madrid
84
84
100%
Barcelona
79
79
100%
Sevilla
77
77
100%
R. Sociedad
62
62
100%
Real Betis
61
61
100%
Villarreal
58
58
100%
Celta
53
53
100%
Granada
46
46
50%
Athletic
10º
46
46
10º
50%
Osasuna
11º
44
44
11º
50%
Cádiz
12º
44
44
12º
50%
Valencia
13º
43
43
13º
100%
Levante
14º
41
41
14º
100%
Getafe
15º
38
38
15º
50%
Alavés
16º
38
38
16º
50%
Elche
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Huesca
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Real Valladolid
19º
31
31
19º
100%
Eibar
20º
30
30
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Athletic
Villarreal
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
0% 100%
Europa League
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Athletic
ATH
Villarreal
VIL
Salzburg
RBS
Levante
LEV
Sturm Graz
STR
Atlético
ATM
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Athletic
Athletic
1%
X%
2%
ELO ATH ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Feb. 2021
CAD
Cádiz
0 - 4
Athletic
ATH
35%
27%
38%
2554 1838 -716 +14
11 Feb. 2021
ATH
Athletic
1 - 1
Levante
LEV
57%
23%
20%
2559 2138 421 -2
07 Feb. 2021
ATH
Athletic
1 - 1
Valencia
VCF
47%
27%
26%
2557 2634 -77 -1
04 Feb. 2021
BET
Real Betis
1 - 1
Athletic
ATH
47%
27%
26%
2556 2422 -134 +2
31 Jan. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 1
Athletic
ATH
77%
15%
8%
2555 3673 1118 -3

Matches

Villarreal
Villarreal
1%
X%
2%
ELO VIL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Feb. 2021
RBS
Salzburg
0 - 2
Villarreal
VIL
42%
27%
31%
2647 2331 -316 +19
14 Feb. 2021
VIL
Villarreal
1 - 2
Real Betis
BET
55%
24%
21%
2658 2415 243 -16
06 Feb. 2021
ELC
Elche
2 - 2
Villarreal
VIL
24%
24%
52%
2666 1508 -1158 -8
03 Feb. 2021
LEV
Levante
1 - 0
Villarreal
VIL
33%
27%
39%
2682 2121 -561 -14
30 Jan. 2021
VIL
Villarreal
1 - 1
R. Sociedad
RSO
52%
25%
22%
2680 2592 88 -3