Inter-Cities Fairs Cup . 1/32
Global 1-3
Athletic vs Sparta Praha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1970 |
UDL
1 - 1
ATH
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
ATM
2 - 0
ATH
64%
22%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
SPA
2 - 0
ATH
55%
23%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
ATH
1 - 1
FCB
55%
25%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 1970 |
ATH
0 - 2
RMA
53%
23%
23%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Praha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1970 |
SPA
2 - 0
ATH
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
SPA
0 - 1
INT
41%
23%
36%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
INT
3 - 0
SPA
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1968 |
SPA
2 - 1
RMA
37%
24%
39%
|
81 | 90 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1968 |
RMA
3 - 0
SPA
77%
14%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |