Athletic vs Mallorca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
GRA
2 - 2
ATH
22%
25%
54%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ATH
1 - 0
SEV
49%
24%
27%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
ATH
2 - 2
S04
50%
24%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FCB
2 - 0
ATH
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2012 |
S04
2 - 4
ATH
52%
25%
24%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Mallorca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
RAC
0 - 3
MLL
37%
28%
36%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
MLL
0 - 0
GRA
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2012 |
SEV
3 - 1
MLL
66%
20%
14%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MLL
0 - 2
FCB
7%
17%
75%
|
85 | 98 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 3
MLL
38%
28%
34%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |