Athletic vs Eibar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.2%
10.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2016 |
ATH
1 - 2
FCB
11%
18%
72%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
FCB
6 - 0
ATH
90%
7%
3%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
ATH
44%
26%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
SEV
2 - 0
ATH
58%
23%
19%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
ATH
3 - 2
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Eibar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
EIB
5 - 1
GRA
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
UDL
3 - 2
EIB
51%
26%
23%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
EIB
2 - 1
ESP
35%
27%
38%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2016 |
EIB
2 - 3
UDL
44%
26%
31%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
BET
0 - 4
EIB
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |