Athletic vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.1%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.3%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12%
8.8%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
ESP
4 - 0
ATH
43%
23%
34%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
ATH
2 - 3
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
ATM
2 - 1
ATH
54%
21%
25%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
ATH
2 - 2
GRA
82%
11%
7%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
SEV
3 - 0
ATH
55%
20%
25%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1943 |
CEL
1 - 0
RMA
47%
22%
31%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1943 |
SAB
4 - 0
CEL
35%
23%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1943 |
CEL
0 - 5
OVI
58%
19%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1943 |
CEL
0 - 2
RSO
74%
13%
12%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1943 |
ESP
1 - 1
CEL
59%
20%
22%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |