Atalanta vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
52.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 0
ATL
79%
15%
6%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
GEN
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 2
VER
50%
26%
25%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
ROM
3 - 1
ATL
78%
15%
8%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
SAS
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 0
INT
53%
24%
24%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
ROM
2 - 0
ACM
56%
22%
22%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ACM
3 - 0
LIV
76%
16%
8%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ACM
1 - 0
CAT
73%
17%
10%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2014 |
GEN
1 - 2
ACM
25%
24%
51%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |