Atalanta vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
AVE
0 - 0
ATL
22%
26%
52%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
ATL
2 - 0
USC
71%
20%
9%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
RIM
0 - 0
ATL
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 0
VIC
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 1
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
BRE
3 - 2
CES
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
PIA
3 - 1
BRE
36%
28%
37%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
BRE
0 - 0
MAN
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
MOD
2 - 1
BRE
34%
29%
38%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
BRE
2 - 0
FCC
81%
15%
5%
|
80 | 55 | 25 | 0 |