Atalanta vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
NAP
1 - 0
ATL
56%
21%
22%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
ATL
2 - 0
ACL
48%
22%
30%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1938 |
ATL
0 - 0
ACM
41%
23%
35%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
ASL
3 - 2
ATL
50%
22%
28%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
ROM
2 - 1
ATL
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
BAR
0 - 1
BOL
36%
29%
36%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
ROM
3 - 2
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
BAR
0 - 0
TRI
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
BAR
5 - 1
LAZ
31%
25%
44%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
LIV
1 - 0
BAR
44%
23%
32%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -1 |