Assesse vs Ligny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Assesse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
MOL
6 - 1
ASS
23%
20%
57%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
TOR
9 - 0
ASS
59%
22%
19%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
QDB
1 - 3
ASS
8%
15%
77%
|
28 | 7 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
WEP
1 - 1
ASS
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
ASS
1 - 1
MOL
79%
12%
8%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ligny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 0
FLA
43%
22%
36%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
LIG
2 - 0
ANH
82%
12%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
2 - 1
LIG
51%
21%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
LIG
1 - 1
ASS
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 1
LIG
77%
15%
9%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |