ASIL Lysi vs APEA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
3º
6º
3º
19
4º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
26 | 26 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASIL Lysi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ENA
1 - 0
ASI
45%
27%
29%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ASI
2 - 2
AEP
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ASI
2 - 0
ETH
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DIG
1 - 1
ASI
56%
25%
19%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ASI
0 - 0
IRA
62%
22%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
APEA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
APE
2 - 0
DIG
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
IRA
2 - 0
APE
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
APE
2 - 3
ASP
40%
25%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
ETH
0 - 2
APE
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ENA
3 - 1
APE
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |