Vastese vs Castelnuovo Vomano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
21.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vastese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
VAS
1 - 1
ASD
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
FAN
55%
25%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
5 - 2
NER
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 1
MON
64%
21%
16%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
POR
1 - 2
ASD
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Castelnuovo Vomano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
VAS
43%
22%
35%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
MON
1 - 2
CAS
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
POR
37%
23%
41%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
SFF
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
UST
3 - 0
CAS
48%
22%
30%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |