Troina vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
50%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ACI
3 - 0
ASD
61%
22%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 2
ROT
45%
25%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
SMC
1 - 2
ASD
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
0 - 4
BIA
46%
24%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ASD
1 - 0
MDR
52%
23%
24%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
CIT
4 - 2
DAT
53%
24%
23%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LUC
0 - 1
CIT
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
ACI
2 - 1
CIT
40%
29%
32%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
CIT
3 - 0
MDR
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
CIT
1 - 0
PAT
47%
25%
28%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |